PARMA (Pepeng) comes back!
Tropical Storm PARMA (PEPENG) rapidly moved south-east and is approaching the coast of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.
PARMA (PEPENG) is about to make landfall along the boundary of Ilocos Norte and Western Cagayan (estimation: in 1 to 2 hours).
Maximum sustained winds of 105 km/h near center and gusts of up to 135 km/h.
Please observe the Signals from PAGASA:
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Batanes Group of Island
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan Island
Calayan Island
Apayao
Ilocos Norte
Abra
Ilocos Sur
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Rest of Cagayan
Kalinga
Mountain Province
Benguet
La Union
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Isabela
Ifugao
Nueva Vizcaya
Pangasinan
;)
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( 3.3 / 14 )Tropical Storm PARMA (Pepeng) comes back!
It is approaching the western & northern coastlines of Ilocos Norte, deteriorating weather conditions along Extreme Northern Luzon.
PARMA's main circulation remains slightly organized with its core reforming just off the coast of Ilocos Norte. Stormy conditions with winds not exceeding 130 kph can be expected along Ilocos Provinces and the rest of Extreme Northern Luzon. While its inner (rain) bands are now spreading across other parts of Northern Luzon - where deteriorating weather conditions with winds not exceeding 85 kph can be expected today. Northern parts of Central Luzon will be under PARMA's outer (feeder) bands, where cloudy skies, light to moderate rains with winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected.
Typhoon MELOR (Quedan) is now a Category 4 Typhoon. In the latest track forecast it moves quickly north. If the forecast is right. the storm menaces Japan's capital Tokyo.
And there is a new, still weak 1008 hPa, low pressure zone between Guam and Palau.
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( 3.3 / 12 )Tropical Storm PARMA (Pepeng) slowly moves around.
Its track forecast is changing very frequently. the future moves depend on the interaction with Super Typhoon MELOR (Quedan).
At this moment there is a chance that PARMA (Pepeng) comes back to the North Luzon and then moves south-west near the western cost of Luzon. It may even build up new strength.
Typhoon MELOR (Quedan) lost a bit of strength during the night and is now a Category 4 Typhoon. In the latest track forecast it moves quickly north.
;)
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( 3 / 10 )Tropical Storm PARMA (Pepeng) unchanged. The storms trends to go south-west.
MELOR (Quedan) is still extremely strong. It changed its direction more north. Latest vector is 345 degrees.
Next update tomorrow morning around 6:00 AM
Gud nite.
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( 2.9 / 13 )Tropical Storm PARMA (Pepeng) does not move and stays near the coast of Ilocos Norte.
PARMA is expected to remain quasi-stationary over the South China Sea NW of Luzon for the next 2 to 3 days as it interacts with Super Typhoon MELOR (Quedan).
PARMA's maximum sustained winds are of 95 km/h near center
and gusts of up to 120 km/h.
MELOR (Quedan) is still extremely strong.
The pressure did fall to 910 hPa!
The moving speed is at 31 km/h at 330 degrees (north-northwest)
;)
PARMA on left and MELOR on the right
MELOR: A dangerous beauty
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( 3 / 10 )Tropical Storm PARMA (Pepeng) does not move near the coast of Ilocos Norte.
PARMA is expected to remain quasi-stationary over the South China Sea NW of Luzon for the next 2 to 3 days as it interacts with Super Typhoon MELOR (Quedan).
PARMA's maximum sustained winds are of 95 km/h near center
and gusts of up to 120 km/h.
The Super Typhoon MELOR now entered the Philippines Area of Responsibility (PAR) and got the name QUEDAN.
The 2 wind-systems PARMA and MELOR start to interact. They can mutually influence the movement.
MELOR (Quedan) moves west - northwest with a speed of 26 km/h.
Here some data about this incredible Super Typhoon:
The pressure did fall to 915 hPa.
Maximum wind-speed 260 km/h near the center
Peak wind gusts: 315 km/h
Recent Movement: W-NW at 31 km/h
Size (Diameter): 945 km / very large
Maximum Sea Wave Height (near center): 11.8 m
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( 3 / 15 )Tyohoon PARMA (Pepeng) does nearly not move. Meanwhile it has been downgraded to Tropical Storm.
PARMA's main circulation has become weak.Its core (eye) is now about 260km. from the coast of Ilocos Norte
Maximum sustained winds of 60 km/h near center and gusts of up to 75 km/h.
1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of PARMA.
Super Typhoon MELOR (20W) is still racing west-northwest across the Western Pacific.
MELOR's circulation remains impressive, powerful and very-well organized and continues to exhibit a clear, cloud-free, 44-km. wide round eye.
This extremely powerful system is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center or along the eyewall of this Super Typhoon.
For more current weather information and outlooks, please see here.
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( 3.1 / 13 )An earthquake has struck an unpopulated area in the Central Mindanao Province
There are no damages reported.
Different sources indicate different seismic centers. Someones report central Mindanao with mountains up to 1586 m. Others see the seismic center in the Moro Gulf in south Mindanao.
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( 3 / 15 )Tyohoon PARMA (Pepeng) does not move anymore.
It stays 150 km North Northwest of Laoag City. Maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near center and gusts of up to 150 km/h.
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds) in:
Batanes Group of Islands
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan
Calayan Islands
Ilocos Norte
Apayao
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds) in:
Ilocos Sur
Abra
Kalinga
Rest of Cagayan
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds) in:
La Union
Benguet
Mt. Province
Northern Isabela
Super Typhoon Melor moved north-northwest 285 degrees at 26 km/h during the last 6 hours.
Maximum sustained winds of 260 km/h near center and gusts of up to incredible 315 km/h.
MELOR's circulation remains very organized, exhibiting a clear, cloud-free, 55-km. wide eye. This extremely powerful system is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of the storm.
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( 3.1 / 16 )Typhoon PARMA (PEPENG) weakened further after crossing Northern Luzon last night. Now it is off the NW coast of Ilocos Norte but still producing typhoon conditions across Ilocos Provinces and parts of Apayao and Calayan Island Group.
... and then?
2 scenarios are possible:
Scenario 1: PARMA is expected to slow down as it enters weak steering flow...it shall drift slowly NNW, Northward then NNE (clockwise motion) for the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system slowly moving ESE to Eastward due to Direct Cyclone Interaction (DCI) (aka. Fujiwhara Effect) with Typhoon MELOR (20W), currently located 2,410 km. to the ESE. This scenario is still complicated at this time.
Scenario 2: There's a possibility that PARMA will track West to WSW into the South China Sea and no longer interacts with MELOR if the current High Pressure ridge over China strengthens and become the dominant steering factor for Typhoon PARMA. However, this scenario remains poor at this time.
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