Silent Garden News
Super Typhoon Lupit (Ramil): Philippines on alert 
Over the weekend, government disaster-response agencies began coordinating to prepare for the onslaught of super typhoon Lupit (Ramil). Various line agencies prepared to set up evacuation centers, assign health personnel on 24/7 duty, and move packed goods to northern Luzon, where the storm is expected to make landfall.

DOH on blue code alert:
Government hospitals in most parts of Luzon went on blue alert Sunday in preparation for super typhoon Lupit (Ramil), which is expected to hit the country Wednesday or Thursday.

The National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) said the Department of Health (DOH) sent alert memos to six Luzon regions the typhoon threatens to hit directly.

DOH maintained blue alert code with manpower on duty; pre-positioned medicines and medical supplies.

Covered by the DOH alert memos are Ilocos, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, Metro Manila and Cordillera.

NAVY on red alert:
The Philippine Navy said Sunday it has put its forces in Northern, Central and Southern Luzon on red alert status.

Awaiting super typhoon Lupit (Ramil), the Navy is preparing their equipment and vehicles, including choppers, Islander planes, 18 M-35 trucks, 18 rubber boats, and amphibious vehicles and trucks.


But Navy admitted that their personnel have been strained and their resources are getting thin after the efforts they exerted in the last two cyclones.

PAGASA has not yet raised any storm signal:
PAGASA expects that rains may start falling over the eastern part of Northern Luzon Tuesday.

We keep on tracking the storm. Next update around 05:00pm this afternoon.


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Camiguin Lanzones Festival 2009 - Day 2 
OCTOBER 19, 2009 (MONDAY)

8:00 A.M.
HOLY THANKSGIVING MASS
Venue: Convention Center

8:00 A.M. - 9:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
MGA PALARONG PINOY / LANZONES EATING CONTEST (PAO)
KALANRAKAS SA MAHINOG
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

9:00 A.M.
ORIENTATION & BRIEFING: MUTYA SA BUAHANAN 2009
Venue: Provincial Tourism Office

1:30 P.M.
PICTORIALS: MUTYA SA BUAHANAN 2009
Venue: Provincial Capitol Swimming Pool

3:00 P.M.
MOTORCADE OF CAMIGUIN TOURISM ASSOCIATION

8:00 P.M
BUAHANAN SA PAROLA PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
Venue: Old Parola Strip


Picture from the Opening Ceremony yesterday afternoon.

We do not like the new stage. The distance is to big and the sound get's lost.

We soon will post pictures and videoclips on a special page.

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Super Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-19 @ 07:00am  
Super Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) turns back to west!

As predicted by the ECMWF Model the Super-typhoon Lupit (Ramil) turns back

This track is automatically updated.



The isobaric map shows the high pressure zone between Taiwan and Shanghai. This zone determines the track of Super Typhoon Lupit (Ramil)


In this satellite image the eye of the Super Typhoon is clearly visible.

These pictures and animated maps are available here.

Super Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) is a typhoon of Category 5 with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 250 km/h (135 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 305 km/h (165 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 919 hPa
Recent Movement: North at 4 km/h (2 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 9.1 m (30 ft)

Next update this afternoon around 06:00pm.

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Update Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-18 @ 07:00pm 
Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) is still slowly (13 km/h) moving east to nort-east. Some agencies have attributed the category Super Typhoon.

This track is automatically updated.


Next update tomorrow morning around 07:00am.
Here you find more permanently updated weather information.

Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) is a typhoon of Category 4 with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 240 km/h (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 km/h (160 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 hPa
Recent Movement: NNE at 13 km/h (7 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 8.2 m (27 ft)

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Update Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-18 @ 11:00am 
Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) is still slowly (7 km/h) moving north to north-nort-east.

This track is automatically updated.


Next update this afternoon around 05:00pm.
Here you find more permanently updated weather information.

Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) is a typhoon of Category 4 with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 215 km/h (115 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 260 km/h (140 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 hPa
Recent Movement: NNE at 7 km/h (4 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 7.6 m (25 ft)

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Camiguin Lanzones Festival 2009 - Day 1 
OCTOBER 18, 2009 (SUNDAY)

9:00 A.M. TAEKWONDQ TOURNAMENT (REGIONAL COMPETITION)
Venue: Camiguin Convention Center

1:00 P.M. PARADE
Assembly Area: Provincial Plaza to Camiguin Tourism Center

2:00 P.M. OPENING CEREMONIES: 30th CAMIGUIN LANZONES FESTIVAL
to be graced by HER EXCELLENCY GLORIA MACAPAGAL ARROYO
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

Part II: RIBBON CUTTING CEREMONIES
DECLARATION OF UGMAD 2009 OPENING VIEWING OF EXHIBITS

MUSIC & BAL-BAL SHOWDOWN
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
6:00 P.M. onwards BUAHANAN SA PAROLA (Sponsored by Camiguin Tourism Association)
Venue: Old Parola Strip



The full schedule of the festival is available here.

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Update Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-18 @ 07:00am  
During the last 6 hours Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) slowly moved north to north-nort-east (10°).

This track is automatically updated.


Next update this afternoon around 05:00pm.
Here you find more permanently updated weather information.

Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) is now a typhoon of Category 4 with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 175 km/h (95 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 215 km/h (115 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 950 hPa
Recent Movement: NNE at 13 km/h (7 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 6.4 m (21 ft)

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Tomorrow begins the Camiguin Lanzones Festival 
Tomorrow begins the 30th Camiguin Lanzones Festival

After weeks of preparations and training, our kids and young people won't sleep tonight. Tomorrow is their most important day of the year.

If you do not yet have a ferry ticket or a reservation in a resort, you may still come to Camiguin.

The PARAS SEA CAT offers a promotional fare during the Lanzones Festival and the most friendly folks of Camiguin will find a bed for you for some pesos.

Weather is fair to good. The approaching typhoon Lupit(Ramil) works as a vacuum cleaner an brings us fresh air and slurps away the clouds.



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Update Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-17 @ 09:00pm  
Sorry, our 05:00pm update got lost.

Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) now shows a clean eye of some 20km diameter.

During the last hours the typhoon slightly intensified from 959 to 952 hPa. It slowly - 13 km/h (07 kts) - moves north on the predicted track.

If the high pressure zone over China persists, Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) may even move further north and will not hit the Philippines.

This track is automatically updated.


Next update tomorrow morning around 07:00am.
Here you find more permanently updated weather information.

Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) is now a typhoon of Category 3 with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 175 km/h (95 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 215 km/h (115 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 952 hPa
Recent Movement: WNW at 20 km/h (11 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 6.4 m (21 ft)

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Update Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-17 @ 09:00am  
Typhoon Lupit(Ramil) has grown.


The size of Lupit (Ramil) already exceeds the size of the Philippines.
Its diameter is now 815 km (440 nm)

You may watch this animated map here: WEATHER

When looking at the track forecast, you may ask how they can predict these tracks with direction changes as shown below.



The answer is very complex. It can be found at the:
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

The ECMWF global atmospheric model is at this moment the best available model.

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