Silent Garden News
Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) on 2009-10-29 @ 08:30 PM  
Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is still moving west.

The core eye will pass over Polillo Island around 2 AM on Saturday and make landfall over Northern Quezon just north of Infanta between 5:00 and 6:00 AM as a Category 2 typhoon with winds of 160 km/h. It will then cross Bulacan and Pampanga around 10:00 AM and cross about north of Quezon City and will be over Subic Bay area at around 2:00 PM on Saturday afternoon.



Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is a Typhoon of category 2 and has the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 165 km/h (90 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 205 km/h (105 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 30 km/h (16 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 9.1 m (30 ft)

Area of landfall: Aurora, Northern Quezon

PAGASA informs:



Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Aurora
Northern Quezon
Polillo Island

Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Isabela
Ifugao
Quirino
Benguet
Nueva Vizcaya
Pangasinan
Tarlac
Nueva Ecija
Pampanga
Bulacan
Rizal
Rest of Quezon
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Catanduanes

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Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) on 2009-10-29 @ 08:30 AM  
Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is moving west.



As it has entered PAR (Philippine Area of Responsibility), PAGASA has started to publish warnings


Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is a Typhoon of category 2 and has the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 160 km/h (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 km/h (105 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 28 km/h (15 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 8.2 m (27 ft)

Area of landfall: Aurora

PAGASA informs:



Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Isabela
Aurora
Northern Quezon
Polillo Islands

Next update this evening around 6:00 PM


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Update: Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) on 2009-10-28 @ 08:30 PM 
Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is moving west to hit the Philippines.



As it has not yet entered PAR (Philippine Area of Responsibility), there are no warnings from PAGASA. Why? The earlier people know about the danger, the earlier they can prepare.


Typhoon Mirinae (Santi) is now a Typhoon of category 2 and has the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 140 km/h (75 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 165 km/h (90 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 967 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 31 km/h (17 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 5.7 m (19 ft)

The size of the typhoon has grown and the pressure gradient got steeper.




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23W is now a typhoon named Mirinae (Santi) 
Typhoon named Mirinae (Santi) is approaching the Philippines and will enter PAR (Philippine Area of Responsibility) today.


The multi agency forecast shows the tracks heading for Luzon.



Typhoon named Mirinae (Santi) has the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 120 km/h (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 km/h (80 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 35 km/h (19 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 5.1 m (17 ft)


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Oh no ! 23W is developing 
Typhoons need warm water of at least 27 degrees centigrade and humid air to get active.

These conditions can only be found inside the ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone).

This ITCZ follows the sun north and south of the equator. As the sun has passed south of the equator on September 23, the northern ITCZ is moving south and so do the typhoons.

See also our analysis on Tropical Storms and Typhoons.


The last 2 typhoons aproaching the Philippines Lupit/Ramil and Parma/Pepeng lost their strength in the colder water and drier air over the sea of North Luzon.

The new depressions will hit the Philippines in the Bicol area and Samar until mid of December.

The new Tropical Depression over Guam, 23W, heads directly to Bicol.
It is too early to alert people, but PAGASA is already monitoring the developing storm.



PAGASA informs:


Barely had "Ramil", the third typhoon of the month—left the country after an erratic, weeklong juggernaut, another potential storm is brewing in the Pacific.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced on Sunday it was watching a low-pressure area, but it was still "too early to tell" if it would head for the Philippines.

If it does, the weather disturbance will enter the Philippine area of responsibility by Thursday of this week and possibly hit central or southern Luzon or the Bicol area.

The projected area goes from northern Minadano up to entire Luzon.

We keep on track.

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Camiguin Lanzones Festival 2009 - Day 8 
OCTOBER 25, 2009 (SUNDAY)

8:00 A.M. - 5:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

MGA PALARONG PINOY/LANZONES EATING CONTEST (PAO)

1:00 P.M.
KALANRAKAS (CHARIVARI - STREET DANCING)
Venue: Pobiacion Mambajao to Camiguin Tourism Center


3:00 P.M.
AWARDING CEREMONIES: KALANRAKAS
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

8:00 P.M.
BUAHANAN PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
(Sponsored by San Miguel Brewery Inc.)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

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Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-24 - FINAL 
Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) is moving away.

We still keep an eye on this storm as it is moving north to north-east (NNE). We have already seen storm tracks that were simply unbelievable. If it should come back, we shall inform you.

It seems that Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) might even track back from Okinawa, but the dry air and colder water in the north east will further reduce its strength.

With this final message we terminate the daily reports on Lupit (Ramil).

For permanently updated weather information we recommend to visit:

PHILIPPINES WEATHER



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Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-24 @ 08:00am 
Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) is slowly leaving the Philippines. It moves east to north-east in direction of Okinawa.



Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) has the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 100 km/h (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 km/h (70 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 hPa
Recent Movement: ENE (east - northeast) at 11 km/h (6 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 8.5 m (28 ft)

PAGASA informs:



Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Batanes Group
Calayan Islands

Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan island

Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Rest of Cagayan
Ilocos Norte
Apayao



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Camiguin Lanzones Festival 2009 - Day 7 
OCTOBER 24, 2009 (SATURDAY)

8:00 A.M.-9:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
MGA PALARONG PiNOY (B-MEG/PVO)
JOB FAIR & MOBILE PASSPOR TING SYSTEM (MUN. PESO)

8:00 A.M.
STREET DANCING COMPETITION (MARDI GRAS)
Venue: Poblaclon Mambajao

1:00 P.M.
MGA PALARONG PINOY / LANZONES EATING CONTEST (PAO)

1:00 P.M.
TABLEAU COMPETITION (INTER-AGENCY)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center


5:00 P.M.
AWARDING CEREMONIES: STREET-DANCING & TABLEAU
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

8:00 P.M.
BUAHANAN PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
(Sponsored by San Miguel Brewery Inc.)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center

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Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) 2009-10-23 @ 10:00pm 
Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) has turned northward away from Cagayan's coast during the past 3 hours. It continues losing strength.The threat to extreme North Luzon diminishing.



Lupit (Ramil) is now a Tropical Storm with the following characteristics:

Maximum sustained windspeed: 100 km/h (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 km/h (70 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 hPa
Recent Movement: does not move
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 9.4 m (31 ft)

Next update tomorrow morning around 07:00am.

PAGASA informs:



Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan
Calayan Islands
Batanes Group

Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Rest of Cagayan
Ilocos Norte
Apayao

Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Ilocos Sur
Abra
Kalinga
Benguet
Mt. Province
Isabela
Ifugao
Quirino
Northern Aurora

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