The multi agency forecast shows the tracks heading for Luzon.
;)
Typhoon named Mirinae (Santi) has the following characteristics:
Maximum sustained windspeed: 120 km/h (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 km/h (80 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 35 km/h (19 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 5.1 m (17 ft)
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( 3 / 6 )Typhoons need warm water of at least 27 degrees centigrade and humid air to get active.
These conditions can only be found inside the ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone).
This ITCZ follows the sun north and south of the equator. As the sun has passed south of the equator on September 23, the northern ITCZ is moving south and so do the typhoons.
See also our analysis on Tropical Storms and Typhoons.
The last 2 typhoons aproaching the Philippines Lupit/Ramil and Parma/Pepeng lost their strength in the colder water and drier air over the sea of North Luzon.
The new depressions will hit the Philippines in the Bicol area and Samar until mid of December.
The new Tropical Depression over Guam, 23W, heads directly to Bicol.
It is too early to alert people, but PAGASA is already monitoring the developing storm.
PAGASA informs:
Barely had "Ramil", the third typhoon of the month—left the country after an erratic, weeklong juggernaut, another potential storm is brewing in the Pacific.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced on Sunday it was watching a low-pressure area, but it was still "too early to tell" if it would head for the Philippines.
If it does, the weather disturbance will enter the Philippine area of responsibility by Thursday of this week and possibly hit central or southern Luzon or the Bicol area.
The projected area goes from northern Minadano up to entire Luzon.
We keep on track.
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( 3.3 / 6 )OCTOBER 25, 2009 (SUNDAY)
8:00 A.M. - 5:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
MGA PALARONG PINOY/LANZONES EATING CONTEST (PAO)
1:00 P.M.
KALANRAKAS (CHARIVARI - STREET DANCING)
Venue: Pobiacion Mambajao to Camiguin Tourism Center
3:00 P.M.
AWARDING CEREMONIES: KALANRAKAS
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
8:00 P.M.
BUAHANAN PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
(Sponsored by San Miguel Brewery Inc.)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
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( 3 / 21 )Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) is moving away.
We still keep an eye on this storm as it is moving north to north-east (NNE). We have already seen storm tracks that were simply unbelievable. If it should come back, we shall inform you.
It seems that Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) might even track back from Okinawa, but the dry air and colder water in the north east will further reduce its strength.
With this final message we terminate the daily reports on Lupit (Ramil).
For permanently updated weather information we recommend to visit:
PHILIPPINES WEATHER
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( 3 / 15 )Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) is slowly leaving the Philippines. It moves east to north-east in direction of Okinawa.
;)
Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) has the following characteristics:
Maximum sustained windspeed: 100 km/h (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 km/h (70 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 hPa
Recent Movement: ENE (east - northeast) at 11 km/h (6 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 8.5 m (28 ft)
PAGASA informs:
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Batanes Group
Calayan Islands
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan island
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Rest of Cagayan
Ilocos Norte
Apayao
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( 3 / 15 )OCTOBER 24, 2009 (SATURDAY)
8:00 A.M.-9:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
MGA PALARONG PiNOY (B-MEG/PVO)
JOB FAIR & MOBILE PASSPOR TING SYSTEM (MUN. PESO)
8:00 A.M.
STREET DANCING COMPETITION (MARDI GRAS)
Venue: Poblaclon Mambajao
1:00 P.M.
MGA PALARONG PINOY / LANZONES EATING CONTEST (PAO)
1:00 P.M.
TABLEAU COMPETITION (INTER-AGENCY)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
5:00 P.M.
AWARDING CEREMONIES: STREET-DANCING & TABLEAU
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
8:00 P.M.
BUAHANAN PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
(Sponsored by San Miguel Brewery Inc.)
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
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( 2.3 / 12 )Tropical Storm Lupit (Ramil) has turned northward away from Cagayan's coast during the past 3 hours. It continues losing strength.The threat to extreme North Luzon diminishing.
Lupit (Ramil) is now a Tropical Storm with the following characteristics:
Maximum sustained windspeed: 100 km/h (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 km/h (70 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 hPa
Recent Movement: does not move
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 9.4 m (31 ft)
Next update tomorrow morning around 07:00am.
PAGASA informs:
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Northern Cagayan
Babuyan
Calayan Islands
Batanes Group
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Rest of Cagayan
Ilocos Norte
Apayao
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Ilocos Sur
Abra
Kalinga
Benguet
Mt. Province
Isabela
Ifugao
Quirino
Northern Aurora
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( 0 / 0 )OCTOBER 23, 2009 (FRIDAY)
8:00 A. M .- 9:00 P.M.
UGMAD 2009
Venue: Camiguin Tourism Center
MGA PALARONG PINOY (B-MEG/PVO)
JOB FAIR & MOBILE PASSPORTING SYSTEM {MUN. PESO)
1:00 P.M. - 5:00 P.M.
SKILLS DEMONSTRATION (DTI)
JOB FAIR & MOBILE PASSPORTING SYSTEM {MUN. PESO)
8:00 P.M.
MUTYA SA BUAHANAN 2009 BEAUTY PAGEANT
(Miss Camiguin Tourism)
Venue: Mambajao ABC Gymnasium
8:00 P.M.
BUAHANAN SA PAROLA PRESENTS SAN MIGUEL OKTOBERFEST
Venue: Old Parola Strip
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( 5 / 2 )Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) stays off the cost of North Luzon and weakens.
Most agencies now predict that Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) will turn north or even north-east.
Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) is now a typhoon of Category 1 with the following characteristics:
Maximum sustained windspeed: 120 km/h (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 km/h (80 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 5 km/h (5 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 10 m (33 ft)
Next update this afternoon around 07:00pm or earlier.
PAGASA informs:
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Batanes Group
Cagayan
Calayan Island
Babuyan Islands
Apayao
Ilocos Norte
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Abra
Ilocos Sur
Kalinga
Isabela
Mt. Province
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
La Union
Benguet
Ifugao
Nueva Vizcaya
Quirino
Northern Aurora
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( 0 / 0 )Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) hits the Philippines!
The Inquirer.net says: TUGUEGARAO CITY – Officials and residents of Cagayan Valley have expressed exasperation over the prolonged wait that they have to endure in anticipation of the arrival of Typhoon "Lupit (Ramil)."
Does it come or doesn't it? People in the north will live a long night. Please think of them, be with them...
Meanwhile the storm runs rather north and hopefully gets lost over the sea.
Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) is now a typhoon of Category 1 with the following characteristics:
Maximum sustained windspeed: 120 km/h (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 km/h (80 kts)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 hPa
Recent Movement: West at 9 km/h (5 kts)
Size (in Diameter): 925 km (500 nm)
Maximum Wave Height (near center): 9.7 m (32 ft)
Next update tomorrow morning around 07:00pm or earlier.
PAGASA informs:
Signal No.3 (100-185 km/h winds)
Batanes Group
Cagayan
Calayan Island
Babuyan Islands
Apayao
Ilocos Norte
Signal No.2 (60-100 km/h winds)
Kalinga
Isabela
Ilocos Sur
Abra
Mt. Province
Ifugao
Benguet
La Union
Nueva Vizcaya
Quirino
Aurora
Signal No.1 (30-60 km/h winds)
Pangasinan
Tarlac
Nueva Ecija
Zambales
Pampanga
Bulacan
Northern Quezon
Polillo Islands
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