Super Typhoon HAGUPIT/Ruby – I stay with JMA

Weather 2014-12-04 JMA at 11:00 (PST)

Super Typhoon HAGUPIT/Ruby – I stay with JMA. The battle between the typhoon track forecasters makes higher waves than the typhoon. After having viewed the latest isobar map from 11:00 a.m. (PST) and having seen the strong High Pressure Area over China, I stay with JMA’s forecast.

High Pressure Area over China

Weather 2014-12-04 High Pressure Areas

The large High Pressure Area (HPA) on the left has centres with pressures from 1042 to 1048 hPa. This strong HPA moves south-southeast at 11 kt = 20 km/h and makes pressure on Super Typhoon HAGUPIT/Ruby. This is the reason why I believe that the storm will JMA’s forecast track and cross over the central Visayas.

[Remark:] This is not a religious believing. If somebody has stronger arguments than JMA, I change within seconds.

Clouds show High Pressure over China

Weather 2014-12-04 clouds

Our 24 hours satellite loops show how the “Chinese” High Pressure Area pushes the clouds south-southeast. The final track of HAGUPIT/Ruby is a race between the two Pressure areas. The typhoon moves at 30 km/h west-northwest and the Chinese High moves at 20 km/h south-southeast. The satellite images are updated once per hour.

Check the animated satellite pictures. It is really a thriller what happens in the atmosphere just now.

The JMA track forecast

Weather 2014-12-04 JMA at 11:00 (PST)

Super Typhoon HAGUPIT/Ruby Storm data

Name (INTL. / local): HAGUPIT/Ruby
Class: Super Typhoon Cat.5
Time/Date of observation: 09:00 AM on December 4, 2014
Location of Center: 9.8º North 133.8º East
Moving Direction and Speed: West – Northwest @ 30 km/h
Moving towards: Leyte / Samar
Distance from the Philippines: 975 km E of Surigao
Estimated Date / Time of Landfall: Saturday / Sunday
Max. Wind Speed near Center: 220 km/h
Peak Wind Gusts: 270 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure: 915 hPa
Diameter: 990 km
24h Rainfall near Center: 100 – 300 mm
Max. Wave Height: 10 – 15 m
Here you find how to read and understand this data

Next update afternoon/evening today

Nearly real-time storm information

[GARD]

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