Tropical Depression Carina concentrating East of Samar

Tropical Depression Carina (SIX-16) has started to get organized east of Samar. GDACS has issued an orange tropical cyclone warning for the Philippines and China.

The satellite images show the concentration process east of Samar. Here in the south, Camiguin, we already have the third day of rainy and windy weather. At this moment wind speeds are around 55 km/h and rainfall is up to 250 mm/24h.

The animated 24h video clips are here.

Tropical Depression Carina Forecast

SATURDAY EVENING: TD SIX-16 /Carina becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves across the north-western part of the Central-East Philippine Sea. At 8 p.m. it will be about 357 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora with wind-speeds up to 85 km/h.

SUNDAY EVENING: TD SIX-16 /Carina makes landfall over the northern tip of Cagayan valley.  It reaches Typhoon Intensity with wind-speeds up to 110 km/h. Landfall will happen about 33 km south-southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayanaround 8 p.m.

MONDAY EVENING: Already outside of PAR TD SIX-16 /Carina will move as a typhoon towards Hong Kong and continental China.

The GDACS forecast from 02:16 hours this morning. GDACS is the Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System. GDACS is a cooperation framework under the United Nations umbrella. It includes disaster managers and disaster information systems worldwide and aims at filling the information and coordination gap in the first phase after major disasters GDACS provides real-time access to web‐based disaster information systems and related coordination tools.

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[GARD]