Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng – weakening!

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng is progressively weakening. At this moment it has still category 2 strength. The storm is getting disorganized in the dry air. There is hope that it will stall completely within 24 hours.

The satellite images from yesterday morning and today show the progressive disorganization of the cyclone. Here, the full 24 hours process can be observed.

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng on 04/02/2015 at 08:00

Typhoon MAYSAK 2015-04-02

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng on 04/03/2015 at 08:00

Typhoon MAYSAK 2015-04-03

There is now real chance that Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng will loose almost all energy. It then will cross northern Luzon on Easter Sunday as a tropical storm. Central pressure is increasing. It is now 945 hPa and is expected to reach 980 hPa in the night to Sunday.

Even as a Tropical Storm (TS), MAYSAK/Chedeng can still be nasty.Wind speed won’t be dangerous anymore, but heavy rainfall can cause floods and landslides. Please observe the official warnings.

Track Forecast Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng

The erratic behavior of the cyclone makes forecasts difficult. The satellite images of the last 24 hours could make think that the storm is moving almost north. This is wrong! The satellite images are infra-red images and show the concentration of vapor. In the last 24 hours the storm accumulated more water in its northern parts – this creates the impression of a northern track.

Typhoon MAYSAK/Chedeng  Storm data

Name (INTL. / local): MAYSAK /Chedeng
Class: Typhoon Cat.2
Time/Date of observation: 06:00 a.m. on April 3, 2015
Location of Center: 13.9º North 131.7º East
Moving Direction and Speed: Northwest @ 15 km/h
Moving towards: Aurora
Distance from the Philippines: 790 km E of Virac
Estimated Date / Time of Landfall: Sunday morning
Max. Wind Speed near Center: 157 km/h
Peak Wind Gusts: 205 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure: 945 hPa
Diameter: 800 km
24h Rainfall near Center: 50 – 400 mm
Max. Wave Height: n/a
Here you find how to read and understand this data

Next update this evening.

Almost real-time storm information
The animated pictures of this violent storm are fascinating

 

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