Typhoon NOUL/Dodong almost Cat. 3

Typhoon NOUL/Dodong 2015-05-08

Typhoon NOUL/Dodong has continued its approach to the Philippine islands as predicted. The cyclone got stronger but a bit smaller. Its current diameter is estimated at 640 km. Upgrade to category 3 will happen this morning.

Typhoon NOUL/Dodong is expected to continue moving west-northwestward and then gradually turning to northwest.  The cyclone will traverse the south-central part of the Philippine Sea today through Saturday morning and shall be passing near the northeastern coast of Catanduanes by Saturday afternoon and evening. It is expected that the storm will gain strength again and will be upgraded to a Typhoon Category 4.

NOUL/Dodong all tracks come very close

Typhoon NOUL/Dodong 2015-05-08

All forecast track are very near to each other. But forecasters assign a low confidence level for Sunday and following days. This is due to the weak pressure gradients over continental China. We expect that above map will change significantly within the next 48 hours.

The Track

Typhoon NOUL/Dodong 2015-05-08

PAGASA has now assigned storm signal #1 for:
Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Polillo Island and Northern Samar

NOUL/Dodong Storm data:

Name (INTL. / local): NOUL / Dodong
Class: Typhoon Category 2 – 3
Time/Date of observation: 05:00 AM on May 08, 2015
Location of Center: 11.9º North 130.3º East
Moving Direction and Speed: West @ 20 km/h
Moving towards: Bicol Region
Distance from the Philippines: 670 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Estimated Date / Time of Landfall: n/a
Max. Wind Speed near Center: 175 km/h
Peak Wind Gusts: 215 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure: 950 hPa
Diameter: 640 km
24h Rainfall near Center: 100 – 300 mm
Max. Wave Height: 9 – 12 m
Here you find how to read and understand this data 

A strange guy out there

About 4 degrees north and 160 degrees east hovers a strange guy. The Tropical Depression 07W has slowly moved eastwards during the last days. It is “swimming” against the stream. But now it is turning north and is expected to turn even northwest while gaining strength.

Tropical Depression 07W 2015-05-08

Nearly real-time storm information

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