Too slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando creeps over land

Too Slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando

Too slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando moves only very slowly northwest. Forward speeds are between 3 and 9 km/h! The Typhoon continues to bring heavy rainfall and very strong winds to northern Luzon provinces.

I happens only rarely that a typhoon moves so slowly. Average forward speeds are 15 to 25 km/h. But KOPPU/Lando moves at 3 to 9 km/h. Too Slow! Much too slow! JMA even does not indicate forward speeds anymore, they only write “Slowly”. The problem of this non-moving cyclone is that it continues to bring heavy rainfall and strong winds not only during a few hours, but obviously for several days. The strength has decreased and KOPPU/Lando is now a Typhoon Category 2.

This long period of heavy to extreme rainfalls dramatically increases the danger of floods and landslides. The mountain slopes in the northern provinces are steep. Once the roads will be damaged or destroyed by the landslides, it won’t be possible to bring relief goods to the people up there. This situation may trigger a big humanitarian catastrophe.

Too slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando

Too Slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando

Above map shows the creeping path of slow Typhoon KOPPU/Lando. The red rectangle in the map below corresponds to above region.

Too Slow! Typhoon KOPPU/Lando

Typhoon KOPPU/Lando track forecast

Weather 2015-10-18 JMA

JMA always publishes excellent forecast tracks. IMPORTANT: The time in the upper left corner is UTC. Here in the Philippines we have UTC+8. This means that above forecast is from 9+8=17. 17:00 hours or 5:00 p.m.

PAGASA Storm Signals

Storm Signal #3: winds of 121 to 170 kph within 18 hours

Nueva Ecija, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Kalinga, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan and Zambales

Storm Signal #2: winds of 61 to 120 kph within 24 hours

Cagayan including Calayan and Babuyan group of Islands, Isabela, Aurora, Abra, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands and Metro Manila

Storm Signal #1: winds of 30 to 60 kph within 36 hours

Batanes,Cavite, Laguna, Batangas and rest of Quezon

KOPPU/Lando Storm data:

Name (INTL. / local): KOPPU/Lando
Class: Typhoon Category 2
Time/Date of observation: 05:00 PM on October 18, 2015
Location of Center: 16.2° North 121.0° East
Moving Direction and Speed: West @ 3-9 km/h !!!
Moving towards: Northern Luzon
Distance from the Philippines: Santa Fe, Nueva Vizcaya
Estimated Date / Time of Landfall: This morning @ 1 a.m.
Max. Wind Speed near Center: 160 km/h
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure: 945 hPa
Diameter: 750 km
24h Rainfall near Center: 100 – 500 mm
Max. Wave Height: n/a (over land)
Here you find how to read and understand this data

Nearly real-time storm information

Next update tomorrow, if we have sun or power.

[GARD]

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