Super Typhoon MAYSAK – not an April Fool

Super Typhoon MAYSAK

Super Typhoon MAYSAK again got stronger last night. The central pressure of the cyclone had been down to 905 hPa. This makes MAYSAK one of the strongest typhoons.

Michael Padua, the famous meteorologist from Naga City writes:

MAYSAK is now the third most intense Super Typhoon (at Category 5 strength) ever to form early in the Season (from January to April). The other two Super Typhoons with similar strength in the past were: Super Typhoon OPHELIA of January 1958 and Super Typhoon MITAG/Basyang of March 2002.

Track Forecast

Super Typhoon MAYSAK

It happens not often that all the meteorological agencies are so near to each other with their track forecasts. The reason for the usual divergences are the different mathematical weather models used to calculate the dynamic processes in the atmosphere. This enhances the confidence in these forecast tracks.

I am writing this report with no electricity and only slow Internet because Camiguin is again without power. Meanwhile JMA has corrected their forecast track and data. JMA again sees the storm heading rather towards Bicol than Aurora.

Super Typhoon MAYSAK

Super Typhoon MAYSAK Storm data

Name (INTL. / local): MAYSAK / —
Class: Super Typhoon Cat.5
Time/Date of observation: 08:00 a.m. on April 1, 2015
Location of Center: 10.7º North 137.7º East
Moving Direction and Speed: West @ 20 km/h
Moving towards: Bicol Region
Distance from the Philippines: 1,500 km ESE of Virac
Estimated Date / Time of Landfall: Sunday
Max. Wind Speed near Center: 240 km/h
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure: 915 hPa
Diameter: 960 km
24h Rainfall near Center: 100 – 300 mm
Max. Wave Height: n/a
Here you find how to read and understand this data

Next update this evening, if we have electricity

Almost real-time storm information
The animated pictures of this violent storm are fascinating

 

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